{"id":49,"date":"2019-08-07T15:11:21","date_gmt":"2019-08-07T15:11:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/4cn.cptec.inpe.br\/inicio\/?p=49"},"modified":"2019-10-10T13:08:18","modified_gmt":"2019-10-10T13:08:18","slug":"trazendo-a-avaliacao-de-modelos-climaticos-para-o-proximo-nivel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/?p=49","title":{"rendered":"Trazendo a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o de modelos clim\u00e1ticos para o pr\u00f3ximo n\u00edvel"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

O Projeto de Intercompara\u00e7\u00e3o de Modelos Acoplados (CMIP \u2013 sigla em ingl\u00eas) do Programa Mundial de Pesquisa Clim\u00e1tica (WCRP \u2013 sigla em ingl\u00eas), agora em sua sexta fase (CMIP6), fornece a base para a intercompara\u00e7\u00e3o de modelos clim\u00e1ticos e as m\u00e9dias dos multi-modelos publicadas na literatura revisada por pares e nos relat\u00f3rios do IPCC (Painel Intergovernamental sobre Mudan\u00e7as Clim\u00e1ticas). H\u00e1 evid\u00eancias de que, devido aos diferentes desempenhos dos modelos em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s observa\u00e7\u00f5es e \u00e0 falta de independ\u00eancia entre os modelos, n\u00e3o \u00e9 ideal atribuir pondera\u00e7\u00e3o igual a cada proje\u00e7\u00e3o de modelo dispon\u00edvel. Um artigo recente de ‘Perspectiva’ na revista Nature Climate Change<\/em>, ‘<\/em>Taking climate model evaluation to the next level<\/em><\/a>‘<\/em>, de Veronika Eyring e outros, discute ferramentas rec\u00e9m-desenvolvidas que melhoram a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o das simula\u00e7\u00f5es dos modelos em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com as observa\u00e7\u00f5es e que incluem restri\u00e7\u00f5es emergentes baseadas em processos e m\u00e9todos avan\u00e7ados para pondera\u00e7\u00e3o de modelos. O avan\u00e7o dessas abordagens \u00e9 fundamental para fornecer informa\u00e7\u00f5es mais confi\u00e1veis para as partes interessadas e aos tomadores de decis\u00e3o.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O Projeto de Intercompara\u00e7\u00e3o de Modelos Acoplados fornece a base para a intercompara\u00e7\u00e3o de modelos clim\u00e1ticos e as m\u00e9dias dos multi-modelos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":60,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=49"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":96,"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49\/revisions\/96"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/60"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=49"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=49"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pclima.inpe.br\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=49"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}